A Cloudy Dawn in Haiti Cautious optimism greets a
reelected president, but the challenge he faces may be overwhelming
By
KATHIE KLARREICH/PORT-AU-PRINCE
Posted
May 15, 2006 - Haiti's President René Préval took office on
Sunday, opening what many hope will be a new chapter in a history
scarred by political violence and social and economic instability.
"The solution to our country's problems is in our hands," Préval
told thousands of supporters. "The solution begins with dialogue. No
one else can do it for us, not the IMF, the World Bank, the
InterAmerican Development Bank, the European Union, Bilateral
Cooperation or the United Nations. We thank them for their support.
Please, help me, help the country, help yourselves."
The 63-year old agronomist and former president is better known
for being Haiti's only democratically elected head of state to
complete his five-year term rather than for anything specific he
accomplished while in office. But he has won high marks from
even his strongest critics for his pro-active approach to this
second term. Conscious of the short honeymoon period he will be
granted to show signs of real change, he has traveled abroad in
search of aid and investment. And at home he has held frank
conversations with members of Haiti's fractured population,
trying to win support from an antagonistic business sector, a
hostile political community, skeptical media directors, and even
gang leaders who had, for months on end, besieged the capital
with kidnappings and criminal violence.
The initial response, across the board, has been prudently
optimistic. "The last three months, he's said the right things,"
said presidential rival and vocal critic Charles Henri Baker.
"If there's meat behind it, it could be great." Added one
Western diplomatic, "He has reached out across the political
divide, at home and abroad. He's building a new political
tradition."
Préval's ability to deliver may depend on the extent to which
donor countries deliver on their aid pledges — the previous
interim government only received $850 million of the $1.4
billion it was pledged by the international community. Préval is
counting on agricultural development and tourism to jumpstart
the economy, but knows that Haiti has grown increasingly
dependent on foreign aid to keep the economy afloat.
Unemployment is just one of multiple crises in a country that
has seen its economy stuck in reverse gear for years: Two
decades ago, 114 factories employed some 90,000 Haitians; today
there are only 15 factories with slightly more than 15,000
employees. AG Textiles owner Georges Sassine, who employs about
400 people, has the capacity to create 5,000 new jobs in the
next few months but for his precarious financial situation. For
two years he has been hemorrhaging money; only in the last two
months has he begun to break even. On his desk a baby jar full
of spent cartridges collected on his property reminds him of the
fragility of peace. "As a citizen who lived with Préval through
the past, I look at him with a question mark. Since he was
declared the winner, so far so good," Sassine says cautiously.
"But the burden of proof is on him. My main concern? Security,
security, security."
Providing security is currently mostly the preserve of some
9,000 U.N. peacekeepers under Brazilian command, on whom Préval
will depend as long as the situation demands it. He plans to
formally abolish the Haitian military, unofficially defunct
since President Aristide dissolved it in 1995, although one of
the greatest threats to Haiti's stability since then has come
from the disgruntled former soldiers who eventually overthrew
Aristide's government two years ago.
Préval also faces a challenge in rebuilding a police force
whose own director admits that more than half its officers are
corrupt. The United States, which helped in the creation and
training of the force, has limited the distribution of weapons
to police officers because of the criminal element in their
ranks.
And beyond the security challenge, vestiges of a collapsing
infrastructure are visible everywhere, from half-paved roads to
unfinished public housing. Gasoline costs over $5 a gallon, and
the parts of the capital buzz to the sounds of generators day
and night in the absence of electricity. Even last week's
parliamentary investiture was held in candlelight.
Local elections have been postponed indefinitely, hampering
the functioning of government for the nearly 80 percent of
Haitians who live outside of a handful of cities. And the
absence of a majority party in the legislature forces Préval to
seek consensus among a wide variety of parties on major
appointments.
The unspoken question for many Haitians, is how much time
Préval has to deliver before the guns that were used to
destabilize previous governments reappear on the streets. He
faces a daunting challenge in ensuring security and restoring
the functioning of government and the economy, while cleansing
the corruption that runs rampant throughout the public
administration. The price of success will be the creation of
many, very dangerous enemies.
The biggest threat of all, however, may come from within the
Lavalas party of former President Aristide that helped carry
Préval to power. Many in Préval's inner circle turn red in the
face at the very mention of Aristide's name, but others are
lobbying for his return from exile in South Africa. Préval has
said that the constitution allows for Aristide's return, but the
reelected President would be far happier if his controversial
predecessor stayed put. Because to rebuild Haiti, he needs all
of its stakeholders to be focused not on their longstanding
conflicts, but instead on their future prospects.